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Meeting Report
The Northeast Asia Cooperation Dialogue (NEACD) held two plenary sessions in 2002. The
spring conference was held in Tokyo and Okinawa in April and hosted by The Japan
Institute of International Affairs. The second, held in Moscow in October, was
hosted by the Russian Academy of Social Sciences' Institute of Far Eastern Studies.
The Moscow meeting was particularly significant because four officials from the DPRK's
Institute for Disarmament and Peace participated in the discussions. The DPRK is one
of the founding-member countries of NEACD, but has not joined the discussion since 1993.
NEACD participants in Moscow welcomed DPRK participation as a major development in Northeast A
sian track-two diplomatic processes.
In keeping with tradition, the first day of the Moscow Plenary focused on national
perspectives of regional security. Representatives for all six countries gave presentations
and answered questions. The theme of the second day was Northeast Asian energy security,
specifically the effect of energy supply and demand trends on regional energy security.
The Moscow meeting was extended by one day to convene a special Infrastructure and
Economic Development Workshop. Experts in Northeast Asian energy issues and issues
relating to railroad infrastructure were invited to deliver presentations to NEACD
participants. The presentations shed light on complex economic and political issues driving both energy policy and railroad infrastructure development in Northeast Asia.
Meeting roughly every eight months, NEACD provides a "track-two," or unofficial,
forum where foreign and defense ministry policy-level officials, military officers,
and academics from China, Russia, North and South Korea, Japan, and the United States
are able to meet and frankly discuss regional security issues. Founded in 1993,
the forum is considered the leading track-two forum in Northeast Asia.
At present there is no official "track-one" multilateral process in
Northeast Asia. The next NEACD and the Defense Information Sharing
Study Project will convene in Beijing in August 2003.
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Agenda
Tuesday, 1 October |
| 7:00 p.m. | Dinner at the President Hotel |
Wednesday, 2 October |
| 9:00 a.m. | Welcoming Remarks |
| Professor Vasily MIKHEEV (IFEA)
Professor Anatoly BOLYATKO (IFEA)
Professor Susan SHIRK (IGCC) |
| National Perspectives on Northeast Asian Security |
| 10-minute presentation, 50-minute Q and A |
| 9:30 a.m. | Japan |
| Mr. OTABE Yoichi |
| 10:45 a.m. | The United States of America |
| Mr. Richard DEVILLAFRANCA |
| 11:45 a.m. | The People’s Democratic Republic of Korea |
| Mr. JONG Tae Hyang |
| 12:45 p.m. | Lunch
| 2:15 p.m. | The Russian Federation |
| | Mr. Alexander M. IVANOV |
| 3:15 p.m. | The Republic of Korea |
| Mr. KYUN Jea-min |
| 4:15 p.m. | The People’s Republic of China |
| Mr. HONG Xiaoyong |
| 5:15 p.m. | Adjourn |
Thursday, 3 October |
| 9:30 a.m. | Special Presentation: Energy Supply and Demand
Trends: Regional Implications |
| Professor Yuri KHROMOV, Deputy Director of Russia’s Institute for Strategic Studies |
| 11:00 a.m. | Discussion |
| | (including energy and transportation experts who will participate in the October 4 Workshop) |
| 12:00 noon | Lunch |
| 2:30 p.m. | Report and Discussion: Defense Information Sharing Study Project |
| 2:30 p.m. | Future Plans for NEACD |
| 3:45 p.m. | Meeting Adjourns
|
Participant List
The Democratic People's Republic of Korea
|
JONG Tae Hyang
Section Chief
DPRK Institute for Disarmament and Peace
Pyongyang
RI Dong Pan
Researcher
Ministry for Foreign Affairs
Pyongyang
|
CHA Gon Il
Senior Researcher
Institute for Disarmament and Peace
Pyongyang
PAK Song Il
Researcher
DPRK Institute for Disarmament and Peace
Pyongyang
|
The Republic of Korea
|
Prof. AHN Byung-joon
Political Science Dept.
Yonsei University
Seoul
Mr. HONG Jeepio
Deputy Director
Security Policy Division
Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade
Seoul
Prof. LEE Seo-hang
Director General
Institute of Foreign Affairs and National Security
Seoul
|
Col. KIM Jeong-gi
Army Attaché to Russia
Ministry of National Defense
Moscow
Mr. KYUN Jea-min
Deputy Director General
Security Policy Division
Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade
Seoul
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The Russian Federation
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Mr. Eugeniy V. AFANASYEV
Director
Second Asian Dept.
Ministry of Foreign Affairs
Moscow
Mr. Kirill M. BARSKIY
Division Head
Second Asian Dept.
Ministry of Foreign Affairs
Moscow
Prof. Anatoly BOLYATKO
Director
Center for Asian-Pacific Studies
Institute of Far Eastern Studies
Moscow
Vasiliy N. DOBROVOLSKY
Ambassador at Large
Ministry of Foreign Affairs
Moscow
Mr. Alexander IVANOV
Director
Bureau of Asia-Pacific Regional Issues
Ministry of Foreign Affairs
Moscow
Col. Valeriy IVANOV
Principal Directorate for International Military Cooperation
Russian Federation Ministry of Defense
Moscow
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Prof. Yuri KHROMOV
Deputy Director
Institute for Strategic Studies
Moscow
Mr. Gregory S. LOGVINOV
Deputy Director
Bureau of Asia-Pacific Regional Issues
Ministry of Foreign Affairs
Moscow
Prof. Vasily MIKHEEV
Deputy Director
Institute for Far Eastern Studies
Moscow
Alexei A. SAPOZHENKOV
Attaché
Bureau of Asia-Pacific Regional Issues
Ministry of Foreign Affairs
Moscow
Major General Vladimir SIZOV
Prof., Dept. of Strategy
Armed Forces General Staff Military Academy
Moscow
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The United States of America
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Mr. Richard DEVILLAFRANCA
Director, Regional and Security Policy
East Asian and Pacific Affairs Bureau
U.S. Dept. of State
Washington, D.C.
Mr. Jeffery LOGAN
Senior Research Scientist
Pacific Northwest National Laboratory
College Park, Maryland
Mr. Mark MOHR
Senior Advisor
U.S. Dept. of Energy
Washington, D.C
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Prof. Robert SCALAPINO
Institute of East Asian Studies
University of California, Berkeley
Prof. Susan SHIRK
Research Director
Institute on Global Conflict and Cooperation
La Jolla, California
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The People's Republic of China
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Prof. CHU Shulong
Professor of International Studies
School of Public Policy and Management
Tsinghua University
Beijing
Mr. HONG Xiaoyong
Director of Policy Planning
Asian Dept.
Ministry of Foreign Affairs
Beijing
Prof. SU Ge
Vice President and Senior Research Fellow
China Institute of International Studies
Beijing
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Mr. TU Jingchang
Third Secretary
Ministry of Foreign Affairs
Beijing
Lt.Col. ZHAO Bao
Ministry of National Defense
Beijing
Ms. ZHU Jun
Third Secretary
Ministry of Foreign Affairs
Beijing
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Japan
|
Col. HATA Keijiro
Deputy Director for Policies
Joint Staff Office, J-5
Japan Defense Agency
Tokyo
Major MAEKAWA Koji
Joint Staff Office, J-5
Japan Defense Agency
Tokyo
Prof. MORIMOTO Satoshi
PHP Research Institute
Takusyoku University
Tokyo
Mr. OTABE Yoichi
Foreign Policy Bureau
Ministry of Foreign Affairs
Tokyo
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Dr. SHIGEIE Toshinori
Director
Japan Institute of International Affairs
Tokyo
Mr. SUZUKI Atsuo
Director
Office of Strategic Studies
Defense Policy Bureau
Tokyo
Mr. TAKERO Aoyama
Ministry of Foreign Affairs
Tokyo
Prof. TANAKA Akihiko
Institute of Oriental Culture
Tokyo University
Tokyo
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Observers
|
Mr. John CUNNISON
Assist. to Research Director
Institute on Global Conflict and Cooperation
La Jolla, California
| |
Infrastructure and Economic Development Workshop
The Moscow meeting was extended by one day to convene a special Infrastructure and Economic
Development Workshop. Experts in Northeast Asian energy issues and issues relating to
railroad infrastructure were invited to deliver presentations to NEACD participants.
The presentations shed light on complex economic and political issues driving both
energy policy and railroad infrastructure development in Northeast Asia.
Infrastructure and Economic Development Agenda
Thursday, 3 October |
| 7:00 p.m. | Dinner at the President Hotel |
Friday, 4 October |
| 9:00 a.m. | Welcoming Remarks |
| | Professor Vasily MIKHEEV (IFEA)
Professor Susan SHIRK (IGCC) |
| Railway Infrastructure and its Implications for Regional Economic Development |
| 9:20 a.m. | Eurasian Railways: Key to the Korean Deadlock? |
| | Dr. Markku HEISKANEN, Visiting Senior Fellow, Nordic Institute of Asian Studies/td> |
| 9:40 a.m. | China’s Tenth Five-Year Plan for Rail Infrastructure and its Regional Implications |
| | Mr. LU Xusheng, Director of Exchange and Cooperation, China Ministry of Railways |
| 10:00 a.m. | A Vision for Rail Infrastructure Financing in China and Northeast Asia |
| | Ms. CUI Wen, Assoc. Research Fellow, China Institute of Econ. Planning |
| 10:30 a.m. | Open Forum Discussion |
| 12:00 noon | Lunch |
| Energy Demand and Supply: National Energy and Development Policies |
| 1:20 p.m. | Energy Policy of Korea: Energy Security and Cooperation in Northeast Asia |
| | Professor LEE Sang-gon, President, Korea Energy Economics Institute |
| 1:40 p.m. | Sino-Russia Oil and Gas Cooperative Relationship and the Implications for Regional Economic Development |
| | Dr. Keun-Wook PAIK, Associate Fellow, Sustainable Development Programme, Royal Institute of International Affairs |
| 2:00 p.m. | The Economics of Energy Infrastructure in Northeast Asia |
| | Professor Pavel MINAKIR, Director, Khabarovsk Economics Institute |
| 2:20 p.m. | Energy Infrastructure Development in Northeast Asia |
| | Mr. GAO Shixian, Director, Center for Energy Economics and Development Strategy, China State Planning Commission |
| 2:40 p.m. | Open Forum Discussion |
| Energy Infrastructure Project Feasibility: Financing and Organization |
| 3:35 p.m. | Energy Transport in Northeast Asia |
| | Mr. Igor SOLYARSKIY, Vice-President, JSC Transneft, Moscow |
| 3:55 p.m. | Gas Export Potential of Russia’s East: Are the Russians Coming? |
| | Professor Eugene KHARTUKOV, International Center for Petroleum Business Studies, Moscow |
| 4:15 p.m. | Japan’s Contribution to Northeast Asian Pipeline Projects |
| | Dr. Kengo ASAKURA, President, Eco and Energy Corporation |
| 4:35 p.m. | Open Forum Discussion |
| 5:30 p.m. | Adjourn |
| 7:00 p.m. | Dinner at the President Hotel |
Infrastructure and Economic Development
Participant List
|
Dr. Kengo ASAKURA
President
Eco and Energy Corp.
Tokyo, Japan
Amb. Igor BUBNOV
Director
Moscow International Petroleum Club
Moscow, Russia
Ms. CUI Wen
Assoc. Research Fellow
Institute of Economic Planning
Beijing, PRC
Mr. GAO Shixian
Director
Center for Energy Econ. and Dev. Strategy
State Development Planning Commission
Beijing, PRC
Dr. Markku HEISKANEN
Visiting Senior Fellow
Nordic Institute of Asian Studies
Copenhagen, Denmark
Prof. Eugene KHARTUKOV
Director General
International Center for Petroleum Business Studies
Moscow, Russia
|
Prof. LEE Sang-gon
President
Korea Energy Economics Institute
Seoul, Korea
Mr. LU Xusheng
Director of Exchange and Cooperation
Ministry of Railways
Beijing, China
Dr. Pavel MINAKIR
Director
Khabarovsk Economics Institute
Khabarovsk, Russia
Dr. Keun-wook PAIK
Associate Fellow
Sustainable Development Programme
Royal Institute of International Affairs
London, UK
Mr. Igor SOLYARSKIY
Vice President
JSC Transneft
Moscow, Russia
|
DIS Agenda
Sunday, 29 September |
| 7:00 p.m. | Dinner at the President Hotel |
Monday, 30 September 30 |
| 9:00 a.m. | Welcoming Remarks |
| Professor Susan Shirk |
| Topic: New Roles and Missions of the Armed Forces |
| 15-minute presentation from each country followed by 45 minutes of Q and A |
| 9:30 a.m. | Russia |
| 10:45 a.m. | The People’s Republic of China |
| 11:45 a.m. | Lunch at the President Hotel |
| 1:15 p.m. | The United States of America |
| 2:15 p.m. | The Republic of Korea |
| 3:15 p.m. | Japan |
| 4:15 p.m. | Adjourn |
| 7:00 p.m. | Dinner at the President Hotel |
Tuesday 1 October |
| 9:30 a.m. | Special Presentation and Discussion: Current Trends in the Russian Military |
| | General Anatoly BOLYATKO, Professor, Institute of Far Eastern Studies |
| 10:45 a.m. | Discussion of Special Presentation |
| 11:30 a.m. | DIS Future Plans |
| 12:15 p.m. | Adjourn |
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